Smart-Money Radar — source-linked SEC dilution checks

Check dilution risk
before you trade the catalyst.

See active shelves, ATM programs, warrants, convertibles, cash pressure, and what changed — with the exact SEC filing and public timestamp.

Ten manually reviewed validation cases. Not comprehensive market coverage.

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The radar, live — top names are public

Editorial research-priority ranking — evidence pendingas of 2026-09-25T20:07:01.978744

Min rankActionConfluences only10 of 10

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Radar results table: ticker, research-priority rank, points, momentum, timeframe bands, risk flags, and suggested action for each name, sorted by rank.
Ticker	Rank	Points	Δ	Bands	Risk	Action
SWRD	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 41H	·	F 84 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
RAKR	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 38H	·	F 76 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
TROO	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 33H	·	F 66 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
FRTT	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 19H	·	F 38 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
ODYS	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 19H	·	F 38 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
CHR	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 18H	·	F 36 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
MTNVAIL RESORTS INC	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 17H	·	F 29 M 7 S 0	—	Monitor
JATT	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 12H	·	F 23 M 0 S 0	—	Monitor
REAXReal REMAX Group Inc.	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 12H	·	F 29 M 3 S 0	insider_sale_intent	Caution: insider_sale_intent
DUOT	Insufficient coverage	Bullish: 10H	·	F 14 M 5 S 0	—	Monitor

7067 more tickers scored — upgrade to see the full radar →

Evidence

Methodology →

Data as of 2026-08-22 · methodology v2-next-session-adjusted

No signal type has passed validation yet.

Unproven▲Activist stake (13D)
-1.7% vs SPY · 21d · n=601
Unproven·Congressional trade
+0.1% vs SPY · 21d · n=130
Unproven▲Dark-pool volume spike
-1.1% vs SPY · 21d · n=230
Unproven·Earnings surprise
-2.3% vs SPY · 21d · n=268
Unproven▲Failure-to-deliver spike
-3.9% vs SPY · 21d · n=336
Rejected▲Insider open-market buy
-0.7% vs SPY · 21d · n=5014
Promising▲Insider buying cluster
+0.4% vs SPY · 21d · n=424
Promising▼Insider intent to sell (Form 144)
-0.2% vs SPY · 21d · n=9000
Rejected▲Crossed 5% ownership
-1.2% vs SPY · 21d · n=5346
Unproven▲Short interest shift
-5.6% vs SPY · 21d · n=836
Promising▲Short-squeeze setup
+4.9% vs SPY · 21d · n=620

What it reads — and how late each source is

Fast band

Form 4Insider transactions by officers, directors and 10% holders2 business days

Schedule 13DActivist stake crossing 5%, and amendments to it5 business days

Form 144Notice of intent to sell restricted stockFiled with the order

Medium band

Short interest†Shares sold short, reported twice monthly~8 business days

Off-exchange volume†Weekly dark-pool share of trading2–4 weeks

Fails to deliverSettlement failures, published semi-monthly~1 month

Futures positioningCommitments of Traders, by trader classWeekly, 3 days

Congressional tradesLegislator transaction reportsUp to 45 days

Earnings reaction8-K earnings announcements and the move afterSame day

Slow band

Form 13FQuarterly institutional holdings, and changes to them45 days after quarter end

† Read today under personal-use terms. These two require a written commercial agreement, and are disabled rather than relicensed quietly if it is not in place — see source status.

Nothing here is real-time, and nothing here can be. These are the deadlines the disclosure regimes set, so a signal always describes something that has already happened. The bands exist to keep that honest: a Form 4 is days old, a 13F position is a quarter old, and the radar weights them accordingly.

What it is not

· It does not tell you what to trade. No target prices, no calls, no directional instruction.
· No analysis is tailored to you. Watchlists and alerts follow tickers you pick, so they change which names you see — never what is said about them. Nothing here is a personal recommendation.
· It makes no forecasts. A score summarises how much disclosed activity has clustered on a name — not an expected return.
· Measured performance is hypothetical, computed after the fact, and excludes costs and slippage.

Research context, not investment advice.

The full reasoning, including the sources and how the scores are built, is on the disclaimer and methodology page.

Who runs this

Smart-Money Radar is operated by Cinco Peso Solution Ltd, a company registered in Bulgaria under UIC 207822484. Subscriptions are sold through Paddle, which acts as merchant of record. Our company details include the registered address. Questions go to support@smartmoneyradar.net.